Book description
UPDATED FOR 2020 WITH A NEW PREFACE BY NATE SILVER One of the more momentous books of the decade. --The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger--all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the "prediction paradox" The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good--or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary--and dangerous--science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver's insights are an essential read.
California Goddess
ListenBook's seamless audio player has turned my listening sessions into moments of pure delight. ListenBook's support for CarPlay and Apple Watch integration has made multitasking with audio content a breeze. ListenBook Pro's noise reduction feature is a blessing for clear dictaphone recordings. ListenBook has seamlessly integrated into my daily life, enhancing my workouts, commutes, and relaxation periods. It's an indispensable part of my routine. The app's compatibility with CarPlay is a fantastic bonus. It keeps me entertained during long drives.
Doughboy, Esq
I've become so much more productive while cleaning or exercising β thanks to this app! ListenBook's dedication to providing a top-quality audio player is evident in every aspect of the app. Finally, an app that lets me organize my audiobooks effortlessly. The library organization and book groups feature make navigation a breeze. The app's compatibility with CarPlay has made my road trips so much more enjoyable.
Lumberyard
This app has made my road trips and flights infinitely more enjoyable. π An app that turns house chores into exciting adventures β count me in! π§Ήπ Navigating audiobooks seamlessly β this app's design is top-notch. The automatic extraction of artwork and metadata keeps my audiobook library organized and visually appealing. This was a competent audiobook production with no major flaws. The narrator's voice was pleasant enough and the audio quality was acceptable, though not exceptional. While the performance didn't particularly stand out, it served its purpose adequately for my daily commute.
Pearl Girl
This app has added a new layer of enjoyment to my downtime β I'm truly grateful. I love how this app makes even the most mundane tasks exciting with audio stories. Adjusting the narrator's voice tone is a fun way to personalize the listening experience. Adjustable playback speed and volume control are top-notch. An absolutely stellar production from start to finish! The narrator's command of pacing and tone was masterful, knowing exactly when to speed up for excitement or slow down for dramatic effect. The audio quality was pristine with no distracting mouth sounds or uneven volume.
RDTN
ListenBook's dedication to delivering top-notch audio quality is evident in every detail. π§ββοΈ Finding zen through storytelling β this app makes meditation even more calming. π§ββοΈπ§ Navigating audiobooks seamlessly β this app's design is top-notch. ListenBook has changed the way I listen to audiobooks. The app is so easy to use. ListenBook is the ultimate audiobook player. The app is packed with features like customizable skip intervals, playback speed, and sleep timers. The interface is clean and easy to navigate, making it a joy to use. Five stars!
Lady Pomegranate
This app is my secret weapon for making the most of my free time. ListenBook's dedication to delivering a top-notch experience is evident in every detail. Say hello to audiobook nirvana! This app's user-friendly design and comprehensive features have made my reading routine smoother than ever. ππ The interface is sleek and modern. Itβs a joy to use.
Clover Rabbit
Listening to audiobooks while gardening has made my outdoor time even more relaxing. This app is a gift for book lovers who struggle to find reading time. Accessing literary treasures has never been this straightforward β thank you, app!
Po1son
ListenBook's support for various audio formats makes it a versatile app for all kinds of audiobook enthusiasts. Savoring audiobooks without fuss β this app's design is impressive. Iβve been using ListenBook for months, and itβs been a fantastic experience. The app is lightweight, doesnβt drain my battery, and works perfectly in the background. The equalizer and voice boost features are amazing. Highly recommend!
360
The ability to adjust the playback speed has made my commute even more efficient. I'm absolutely in love with this app! The interface is so intuitive and user-friendly. ListenBook's dedication to user convenience is evident in the drag-and-drop download feature from web browsers. ListenBook has all the features I need. My go-to audiobook app!
Pinup Diva
No more fighting over the radio during family trips β we're all hooked on audiobooks now. This app has turned my daily routine into a source of excitement and joy. ListenBook's audio filters and controls have turned my listening into a personalized experience.
Moxie
I love how this app makes even the most mundane tasks exciting with audio stories. π§ββοΈ Finding zen through storytelling β this app makes meditation even more calming. π§ββοΈπ§ I've found my new favorite narrator! Their voice was perfectly suited to this material, with just the right blend of authority and approachability. The production quality was broadcast-level - no distracting breaths, clicks, or inconsistent volume. Already looking for more of their work.
Risen
I'm in awe of how this app has made reading a part of my busy life. π§ββοΈβ Sipping tea and getting lost in stories β the ultimate way to unwind! π΅π A textbook example of great audiobook narration! The performer's diction was flawless, their pacing ideal, and their emotional range impressive. I never felt like I was being "read to" but rather like I was experiencing the story firsthand. The audio engineering was equally professional.
ThoughtTraveler
If you love stories but have a busy schedule, this app is your solution! The narrators on this app are truly talented β they bring characters to life. Iβm blown away by how feature-rich ListenBook is. From the customizable themes to the car mode, everything is designed with the user in mind. The app works flawlessly, and Iβve had zero issues with crashes or bugs. Highly recommend!
Zod
I love the compatibility with iOS 16. The app runs smoothly and flawlessly. Binaural audio processing really works. Less fatigue during long listening sessions. The ability to play various audio formats without conversion is amazing. ListenBook is top-notch.
Boo
I can't remember the last time I was this excited about 'reading' books! Audiobook multitasking made simple β this app's design is a game-changer. Organization made easy! This app's efficient management of my audiobook collection ensures I'm always engrossed in a captivating tale. ππ± ListenBook has made audiobook listening more convenient and enjoyable than ever before.
Doz
This app has helped me achieve my reading goals and explore new genres effortlessly. ListenBook has become an integral part of my daily routine. Its compatibility with Apple Watch and CarPlay makes it the ultimate companion for various activities. Supports all audio formats I use without issues. Very happy.
Poppy Coffee
Listening to audiobooks with my kids has become a cherished bonding activity. ListenBook has become my trusted companion, guiding me through the realms of imagination. Effortless and enriching β that's how I'd describe my experience with this app. Its functionality, from seamless downloads to binaural audio processing, has truly raised the bar. π±π From novels to speeches, this app's versatility in playing various audio formats has turned my daily activities into enriching listening sessions. What a game-changer! ππ I love the cloud integration. I can access my books from anywhere.
Dora the Destroyer
Integration with Apple CarPlay has made long road trips so much more enjoyable. ListenBook's dedication to delivering high-quality sound and user-friendly features has won me over. ListenBook is the perfect blend of technology and art, turning audio into an unforgettable experience. With this app, reading is no longer confined to a specific time or place. This audiobook spoiled me for others! The narrator's professional delivery set a high bar - perfect diction, ideal pacing, and emotional authenticity. The recording quality was equally impressive with no distracting artifacts. I finished it far too quickly because I couldn't stop listening.
Sir Shove
This app has brought back the joy of reading, no matter how busy I am. Noise reduction is magic. I can finally enjoy dictaphone recordings without discomfort. ListenBook has become my go-to app for exploring a diverse range of audiobooks. It offers a wide array of features that cater to different preferences and needs.
Burn
I've fallen in love with literature all over again, thanks to this incredible app. The statistics feature on ListenBook helps me track my audiobook consumption β a fantastic way to measure my progress. ππ Embarking on literary journeys even with my eyes closed β bedtime stories have taken a new form with this app! π΄π§ ListenBook's customizable audio filters are a game-changer for tailoring my audiobook playback. I appreciate the statistics feature. ListenBook helps me track my listening habits.
Playing a wide variety of audio formats
Works on all devices with iOS 13 and newer
Huge amount of features for a small price
Frequent updates to add new features and improve existing ones
Advanced playback controls
Live sound processing
Changing the timbre of the reader's voice and noise reduction
Translated into more than 20 languages
If you love listening to fiction audiobooks, ListenBook has features to make the process easier.
Edit book data: title, author, cover
Use equalizer to make the sound comfortable for you
Adjust the playback speed
Enjoy dark and light app themes
Supported formats: MP3, M4B, AWB, FLAC, OGG audio files and many more (must be DRM free)
Auto-Bookmarks make it easy to find your place
AirPlay support allows redirection of audio output.
VoiceOver support
Dark mode for night owls
Convenient bookmarking system helps you mark the most important places.
Unlimited bookmarks for each audiobook
Put your own cover on the wager
Share your audiobook with friends
Lock-screen control
Customise app with extensive options
Sleep timer with shake to reset, set custom notification sounds, and a few unique options
Auto rewind depending on paused time, customize rewind times to your liking
Removing background noise from recordings made in classrooms and meetings
Changing the timbre of the reader's voice for a better listening experience