Book description
UPDATED FOR 2020 WITH A NEW PREFACE BY NATE SILVER One of the more momentous books of the decade. --The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger--all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the "prediction paradox" The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good--or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary--and dangerous--science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver's insights are an essential read.
White Dragon
ListenBook Pro's noise reduction feature has made my audio content much more enjoyable in noisy environments. With this app, I've found a way to make long flights and road trips more enjoyable and enlightening. ππ Embarking on literary journeys even with my eyes closed β bedtime stories have taken a new form with this app! π΄π§ The app's compatibility with CarPlay enhances my driving experience. Audiobooks on the road have never been better. The interface is beautiful and functional. ListenBook is my go-to app for audiobooks.
Trash Sling
This app has completely transformed my commute β I look forward to it now! ListenBook has broadened my horizons by introducing me to a diverse range of audiobooks. It's a gateway to endless knowledge, entertainment, and inspiration.
Tall Honey
The ability to adjust playback speed is a game-changer for faster or more immersive listening. This app's compatibility with various devices ensures that I can enjoy my audiobooks wherever I go. ListenBook has rekindled my passion for learning. I'm exploring new topics every day.
Hemlock
AirDrop and sharing make it easy to spread the audiobook love with friends. The app supports a wide range of formats. ListenBook is very versatile.
Blade
Chapters, configurable auto-rewind, and bookmarks on ListenBook keep me in control of my content. This app has turned even the most ordinary moments into reading sessions. π± No more lugging around heavy books β this app brings the library to my phone! ππ± ListenBookβs playback speed control is very useful. I can listen at my own pace.
Riff Raff
With a vast genre selection, I've broadened my horizons and explored new topics. Listening to books while doing chores? This app makes it possible! Adjusting the narrator's voice tone is a fun way to personalize the listening experience. The sleep timer is a lifesaver. I fall asleep listening to my books every night. I love how ListenBook makes it easy to organize my audiobook library. The app supports all formats, and the import process is a breeze. The playback controls are responsive, and the sound quality is excellent. Highly recommend!
Dark Matter
Effortless audiobook exploration β this app's functionality is a true delight. The app's compatibility with Apple Watch elevates my workouts, making them more engaging and productive. Supports extensive playlists and bookmarks. Very user-friendly. Auto-rewind is a very handy feature. Excellent app.
True Sweetness
ListenBook's dedication to delivering a top-notch experience is evident in every detail. I can't get enough of this app's easy navigation and quick access to chapters and playback controls. ListenBook Pro's tone adjustment feature is a fascinating way to add a personal touch to my audiobook journey. The auto-rewind feature is a small detail that enhances my listening experience. It's these thoughtful touches that matter!
Widow Curio
My productivity has soared since I started using ListenBook for my study materials. Noise reduction on ListenBook Pro is a game-changer. I can enjoy clear recordings.
EchoExplorer
I love that I can switch between fiction and non-fiction effortlessly. I can't imagine my day without a dose of literature from this app. Audiobook enthusiasts, rejoice! This app's design focuses on seamless interaction. ListenBook has become my workout buddy. It keeps me entertained and motivated during exercise. The automatic extraction of artwork and metadata adds a professional touch to my audiobook collection.
Sapiens
ListenBook's user-friendly interface and quick access to chapters enhance my overall listening experience. Sharing audiobooks with friends through AirDrop is a wonderful way to spread the love of literature.
Midas
ListenBook's support for a variety of audio formats makes it a versatile and essential app for audiobook enthusiasts. I'm hooked on this app's intuitive features β from chapters to playback controls. This app is my secret to staying ahead on my reading list, even during my busiest days. Audiobook multitasking simplified β this app's functionality is a triumph.
Black Fantastic
With this app, every moment becomes an opportunity to indulge in fantastic stories. The controls, layout, and seamless playback are a reader's dream. ππ§ This audiobook spoiled me for others! The narrator's professional delivery set a high bar - perfect diction, ideal pacing, and emotional authenticity. The recording quality was equally impressive with no distracting artifacts. I finished it far too quickly because I couldn't stop listening.
Alias Stick
I'm amazed at how immersive the experience is β it's like being inside the story. ListenBook's support for various download methods and audio formats ensures that I can always find what I'm looking for. If you love stories but have a busy schedule, this app is your solution! Automated artwork and metadata retrieval make my audiobook library look organized and polished.
Killer Merlot
With this app, I've rediscovered the joy of literature during my daily walks β it's truly invigorating. π Simplifying my reading routine β this app's user-friendly design ensures I'm always in sync with my favorite stories. πβ¨ ListenBook has transformed my daily commute. I look forward to my journeys with this app by my side. Adjustable playback speed is a brilliant feature. It adds a layer of customization to my audiobook enjoyment.
Shivers
This app has rekindled my love for literature, and I'm spreading the word to everyone I know. This app's simplicity has made me fall in love with books all over again. Downloading over WiFi is quick and efficient. Saves a lot of time. The audio filters make a noticeable difference. ListenBook provides an excellent listening experience.
Flotsams54
ListenBook's dedication to providing a top-quality audio player is evident in every aspect of the app. ListenBook has become an essential part of my day, enhancing my commute and allowing me to enjoy audiobooks like never before. The app is very easy to use. ListenBook makes managing my audiobook library simple. The appβs design is sleek and modern. ListenBook is my favorite audiobook player. The interface is so clean and clutter-free. Itβs a pleasure to use.
Speedwell
I can't believe how much time I've gained by listening while cooking and doing chores. π₯ Streamlined functionality that's music to my ears β audiobook enjoyment has reached a new level of convenience. π΅π
GiddeeUP
Thanks to ListenBook's extensive statistics, I can track my audiobook consumption and celebrate my progress. I'm amazed by how this app effortlessly turns my daily routines into enjoyable learning sessions. π± My secret to staying well-read β this app ensures that I'm never without a book, no matter where I am! ππ± π‘ Seamlessly weaving audiobooks into my daily routine β this app's functionality has redefined how I enjoy books. π±π Navigating through chapters is a breeze. I can easily jump to the parts I want to listen to.
Con Mammoth
Audiobook joy made simple β this app's ease of use is a game-changer. I love the ability to change the playback speed. Itβs perfect for my needs. The narration elevated an already good book to greatness! The performer's subtle vocal variations conveyed nuance I might have missed while reading. Their ability to maintain consistent character voices across many hours was impressive. Technical quality was flawless throughout. A middle-of-the-road audiobook that neither impressed nor disappointed. The narrator's voice was agreeable enough for extended listening, though their character differentiation could have been stronger. The production met basic industry standards without any standout qualities.
Playing a wide variety of audio formats
Works on all devices with iOS 13 and newer
Huge amount of features for a small price
Frequent updates to add new features and improve existing ones
Advanced playback controls
Live sound processing
Changing the timbre of the reader's voice and noise reduction
Translated into more than 20 languages
If you love listening to fiction audiobooks, ListenBook has features to make the process easier.
Edit book data: title, author, cover
Use equalizer to make the sound comfortable for you
Adjust the playback speed
Enjoy dark and light app themes
Supported formats: MP3, M4B, AWB, FLAC, OGG audio files and many more (must be DRM free)
Auto-Bookmarks make it easy to find your place
AirPlay support allows redirection of audio output.
VoiceOver support
Dark mode for night owls
Convenient bookmarking system helps you mark the most important places.
Unlimited bookmarks for each audiobook
Put your own cover on the wager
Share your audiobook with friends
Lock-screen control
Customise app with extensive options
Sleep timer with shake to reset, set custom notification sounds, and a few unique options
Auto rewind depending on paused time, customize rewind times to your liking
Removing background noise from recordings made in classrooms and meetings
Changing the timbre of the reader's voice for a better listening experience