Audiobook Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner in the ListenBook app

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Book description

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER - NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow."--Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people--including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer--who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They've beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They've even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden's compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn't require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future--whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life--and is destined to become a modern classic.

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An app for listening to audiobooks on iOS
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Download cover from the Internet.
Supports live audio processing. Built-in equalizer, speed change, volume boost and more features.
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Playback history.
Control audio playback from the lock screen, control center or from the companion app on the Apple Watch

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Smart sleep timer with automatic volume control
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Supports iOS desktop widget
You don't have to finish one book to start another. The progress is saved independently for all books

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Add audiobooks to the app using any of the many download methods available.

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Playing a wide variety of audio formats

Works on all devices with iOS 13 and newer

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Advanced playback controls

Live sound processing

Changing the timbre of the reader's voice and noise reduction

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Edit book data: title, author, cover
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Supported formats: MP3, M4B, AWB, FLAC, OGG audio files and many more (must be DRM free)
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AirPlay support allows redirection of audio output.
VoiceOver support
Dark mode for night owls

Listening to audio lectures

Convenient bookmarking system helps you mark the most important places.

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Customise app with extensive options
Sleep timer with shake to reset, set custom notification sounds, and a few unique options
Auto rewind depending on paused time, customize rewind times to your liking
Removing background noise from recordings made in classrooms and meetings
Changing the timbre of the reader's voice for a better listening experience

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