Book description
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER - NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow."--Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people--including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer--who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They've beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They've even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden's compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn't require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future--whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life--and is destined to become a modern classic.
Cool Iris
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Infinite Hole
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Hog Butcher
The ability to listen to books while multitasking is a game-changer for me. ListenBook's library organization and Book Groups feature make it easy to keep my audiobooks organized and accessible. ListenBook's compatibility with a wide array of audio formats makes it my ultimate audiobook companion. ListenBook Pro's noise reduction feature is a revelation. It eliminates distractions and enhances the clarity of recordings, resulting in a more immersive experience.
Apex
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Knuckles
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Mr. Spy
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Aqua Monsoon
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Pixie
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ReiGnZ
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Freeway
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FLAK Angel
Changing the tone of the sound on ListenBook Pro is a fun and unique feature I can't get enough of. Effortlessly managing my audiobook library β this app's design is a triumph. ListenBook makes organizing my audiobooks simple. The app is very user-friendly.
360
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Snout Pixie
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Berlin Kamikaze
Listening to audiobooks has never been this convenient and enjoyable! Audiobooks have become my travel companions, and this app is my guide. ππ This app has rekindled my love for books β I can't stop listening! ππ§ Auto-rewind is a brilliant feature. Never lose track of where I left off.
Trash Pocky
This app's user-friendly controls and sleek design have made audiobook listening a truly immersive journey. This app's convenience has made my downtime more rewarding and enriching. ποΈ This app's user-friendly interface has transformed my daily walks into immersive storytelling sessions. Kudos to the developers! πΆββοΈπ The speed adjustment feature is my secret weapon for studying complex materials. Beautiful design and intuitive interface. Very user-friendly.
Rando Tank
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Slacker Cat
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Slinger
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Seattle Jay
With ListenBook, I've found a versatile and enjoyable way to listen to audiobooks and expand my knowledge. With this app, every moment becomes an opportunity to indulge in fantastic stories. The controls, layout, and seamless playback are a reader's dream. ππ§ I love the auto-rewind feature after interruptions. No more searching for where I left off!
Helmet Destroyer
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Playing a wide variety of audio formats
Works on all devices with iOS 13 and newer
Huge amount of features for a small price
Frequent updates to add new features and improve existing ones
Advanced playback controls
Live sound processing
Changing the timbre of the reader's voice and noise reduction
Translated into more than 20 languages
If you love listening to fiction audiobooks, ListenBook has features to make the process easier.
Edit book data: title, author, cover
Use equalizer to make the sound comfortable for you
Adjust the playback speed
Enjoy dark and light app themes
Supported formats: MP3, M4B, AWB, FLAC, OGG audio files and many more (must be DRM free)
Auto-Bookmarks make it easy to find your place
AirPlay support allows redirection of audio output.
VoiceOver support
Dark mode for night owls
Convenient bookmarking system helps you mark the most important places.
Unlimited bookmarks for each audiobook
Put your own cover on the wager
Share your audiobook with friends
Lock-screen control
Customise app with extensive options
Sleep timer with shake to reset, set custom notification sounds, and a few unique options
Auto rewind depending on paused time, customize rewind times to your liking
Removing background noise from recordings made in classrooms and meetings
Changing the timbre of the reader's voice for a better listening experience